A comprehensive assessment of yield loss in rice due to surface ozone pollution in India during 2005–2020: A great concern for food security

Anagha, K S and Kuttippurath, J and Sharma, M and Cuesta, J (2024) A comprehensive assessment of yield loss in rice due to surface ozone pollution in India during 2005–2020: A great concern for food security. Agricultural Systems (TSI), 215. pp. 1-12. ISSN 0308-521X

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Abstract

CONTEXT: About 60% of the world population relies primarily on rice as their staple food, and India ranks second in terms of global rice production. Studies have shown the adverse impact of surface ozone pollution on agriculture, particularly the yield loss (YL) of major staple crops. OBJECTIVE: (i) To assess the bias associated with ozone data used for YL estimation, (ii) to find the uncertainties in ozone exposure/crop-response methods applied for computing YL and (iii) to analyse the spatio-temporal variability of YL in rice due to surface ozone in India for the period 2005–2020 to assess food security of the country. METHODS: We use the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer chemical reanalysis (TCR-2) surface ozone data and the ozone exposure/crop-response functions to compute YL in rice. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: By using the AOT40 crop-response method, we find a crop production loss (CPL) of about 7.39 million tonnes (Mt) of rice in 2005, which increased to 11.46 Mt. in 2020. The estimated average CPL for the study period is sufficient to feed about 233 million people per year. It also has incurred an economic loss of about $2.92 billion in 2020. SIGNIFICANCE: Atmospheric pollution must be reduced to protect crop health and ensure food security, as evidenced by the two-fold rise of YL in rice due to ozone pollution during the past decade in India. This is also applicable to all agrarian economies of the world with high atmospheric pollution; reiterating the global significance of this study.

Item Type: Article
Divisions: Research Program : Asia
CRP: UNSPECIFIED
Uncontrolled Keywords: Ozone pollution, Rice production, Yield loss, Economic loss, SDGs, Climate change, AOT40
Subjects: Others > Rice
Others > Climate Change
Others > India
Depositing User: Mr Nagaraju T
Date Deposited: 06 Mar 2024 08:25
Last Modified: 06 Mar 2024 08:25
URI: http://oar.icrisat.org/id/eprint/12545
Official URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/...
Projects: UNSPECIFIED
Funders: UNSPECIFIED
Acknowledgement: We thank the Director, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur (IIT KGP), Chairman of CORAL IIT KGP and the Science and Engineering Research Board (SERB) for facilitating the study (The Core Research Grant). We thank the JPL for providing surface ozone data and the Ministry of Agriculture for providing district-wise seasonal crop production data. The authors acknowledge the AERIS data infrastructure for providing access to the IASI+GOME2 data in this study and LISA for the development of the retrieval algorithms.
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