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        <dc:title>The potential economic impact of Guinea-race sorghum hybrids in&#13;
Mali: A comparison of research and development paradigms</dc:title>
        <dc:creator>Kergna, A</dc:creator>
        <dc:creator>Smale, M</dc:creator>
        <dc:creator>Assima, A</dc:creator>
        <dc:creator>Diallo, A</dc:creator>
        <dc:creator>Weltzien, E</dc:creator>
        <dc:creator>Rattunde, F</dc:creator>
        <dc:subject>Sorghum</dc:subject>
        <dc:subject>African Agriculture</dc:subject>
        <dc:subject>Mali</dc:subject>
        <dc:description>Rural Malians depend on sorghum as a staple food. Despite long-term investment in sorghum&#13;
improvement, achieving major gains in sorghum yields has posed challenges. We assessed the&#13;
potential economic impact of the first Guinea-race sorghum hybrids developed and diffused using&#13;
participatory plant breeding with decentralised, farmer-based seed systems. We compared this&#13;
approach to formal plant breeding with a centralised, state-managed seed system – the sole approach&#13;
pursued in Mali prior to 2000. To incorporate risk, we augmented the economic surplus model by&#13;
applying Monte Carlo sampling to simulate distributions of model parameters. A census of sorghum&#13;
varieties in 58 villages of the Sudanese Savanna served as the adoption baseline. Our findings&#13;
indicate that research on sorghum hybrids with the new approach is a sound investment. Public and&#13;
private actors need to continue investing in innovative ways to expand the sorghum seed system. The&#13;
sensitivity of results to the price elasticity of supply suggests commercialisation opportunities.</dc:description>
        <dc:date>2017-03</dc:date>
        <dc:type>Article</dc:type>
        <dc:type>PeerReviewed</dc:type>
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        <dc:language>en</dc:language>
        <dc:identifier>http://oar.icrisat.org/9988/1/2.%20Kergna%20et%20al.pdf</dc:identifier>
        <dc:identifier>  Kergna, A and Smale, M and Assima, A and Diallo, A and Weltzien, E and Rattunde, F  (2017) The potential economic impact of Guinea-race sorghum hybrids in Mali: A comparison of research and development paradigms.  African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 12 (1).  pp. 17-34.      </dc:identifier></oai_dc:dc>
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