eprintid: 11421 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 3170 dir: disk0/00/01/14/21 datestamp: 2020-03-30 11:38:13 lastmod: 2020-03-30 11:38:13 status_changed: 2020-03-30 11:38:13 type: conference_item metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Worou, O N creators_name: Kone, A W creators_name: Tondoh, J E creators_name: Guei, A M creators_name: Edoukou, F E icrisatcreators_name: Worou, O N affiliation: ICRISAT (Bamako) affiliation: UFR des Sciences de la Nature, Université Nangui Abrogoua, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire affiliation: UFR d’Agroforesterie, Université Jean Lorougnon Guédé, Daloa, Côte d’Ivoire affiliation: Centre de Recherche en Ecologie, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire country: Mali country: cote d'Ivoire title: Modeling the contribution of ecological agriculture for climate change mitigation in cote d'Ivoire ispublished: pub subjects: CPM subjects: s2.8 divisions: CRPS1 full_text_status: public pres_type: poster keywords: Conservation agriculture, Sensitivity analysis, Climate, DSSAT, West Africa abstract: The use of crop models is motivated by the prediction of crop production under climate change and for the evaluation of climate risk adaptation strategies. Therefore, in the present study the performance of DSSAT 4.6 was evaluated in a cropping system involving integrated soil fertility management options that are being promoted as ways of adapting agricultural systems to improve both crop yield and carbon sequestration on highly degraded soils encountered throughout middle Côte d’Ivoire. Experimental data encompassed two seasons in the Guinea savanna zone. Residues from the preceding vegetation were left to dry on plots like mulch on an experimental design that comprised the following treatments: (i) herbaceous savanna-maize, (ii)10 year-old of the shrub Chromolaena odorata fallow-maize (iii) 1 or 2 year-old Lalab pupureus stand-rotation, (iv) the legume L. pupureus -maize rotation; (v) continuous maize crop fertilized with urea; (vi) continuous maize crop fertilized with triple superphosphate; (vii) continuous maize crop, fertilized with both urea and triple superphosphate (TSP); (viii) continuous maize cultivation. The model’s sensitivity analysis was run to figure out how uncertainty of stable organic carbon (SOM3) can generate variation in the prediction of soil organic carbon (SOC) dynamics during the monitoring period of two years, within the first soil layer and to estimate the most suitable value. The observed variations were of 0.05 % in total SOC within the short-term and acceptable dynamics of changes were obtained for 0.80% of SOM3. The DSSAT model was calibrated using data from the 2007-2008 season and validated against independent data sets of yield of 2008-2009 to 2011-2012 cropping seasons. After the default values for SOM3 used in the model was substituted by the estimated one from sensitivity analysis, the model predicted average maize yields of 1 454 kg ha-1 across the sites versus an observed average value of 1 736 kg ha-1, R2 of 0.72 and RMSE of 597 kg ha-1. The impact of fallow residues and cropping sequence on maize yield was simulated and compared to conventional fertilizer and control data using historical climate scenarios over 12 years. Improving soil fertility through conservation agriculture cannot maintain grain yield in the same way as conventional urea inputs, although there is better yield stability against high climate variability according to our results. date: 2019 date_type: published pagerange: 846-846 event_title: 4th World Congress on Agroforestry event_location: Montpellier, France event_dates: 20-22 May 2019 event_type: conference refereed: TRUE official_url: https://www.alphavisa.com/agroforestry/2019/documents/Agroforestry2019-Book-of-Abstract-v1.pdf citation: Worou, O N and Kone, A W and Tondoh, J E and Guei, A M and Edoukou, F E (2019) Modeling the contribution of ecological agriculture for climate change mitigation in cote d'Ivoire. In: 4th World Congress on Agroforestry, 20-22 May 2019, Montpellier, France. document_url: http://oar.icrisat.org/11421/1/Agroforestry2019-Book-of-Abstract-v1.pdf