eprintid: 11390 rev_number: 11 eprint_status: archive userid: 3170 dir: disk0/00/01/13/90 datestamp: 2020-03-13 08:30:31 lastmod: 2020-03-13 08:31:56 status_changed: 2020-03-13 08:30:31 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Hendrix, M C creators_name: Obed, I L creators_name: Alice, M M creators_name: Elijah, P creators_name: Jones, Y creators_name: Njoroge, S M C creators_name: Rick, L B creators_name: David, J icrisatcreators_name: Njoroge, S M C affiliation: Department of Soil Science, University of Zambia, (Lusaka) affiliation: ICRISAT (Lilongwe) affiliation: Department of Entomology and Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University,(Raleigh) affiliation: Department of Crop and Soil Sciences, North Carolina State University,(Raleigh) country: Zambia country: Malawi country: USA title: Predicting aflatoxin content in peanuts using ambient temperature, soil temperature and soil moisture content during pod development ispublished: pub subjects: Zam1 subjects: gh5 subjects: s1.3 subjects: s2.11 subjects: s40051 divisions: CRPS5 full_text_status: public keywords: Aflatoxin, Groundnut, Linear regression, Statistical model, Zambia note: This study was mainly funded by the Peanut and Mycotoxin Innovation Laboratory under the Southern African Value Chain Project through the U.S. Agency for International Development, under the terms of Award No. AID-ECG-A-00-07-0001 to The University of Georgia as the management entity for the U.S. Feed the Future Innovation Lab on Peanut Productivity and Mycotoxin Control. Partial funding from the University of Zambia, Directorate of Research and Graduate Studies under the 2017/18 Research Seed Money Award to Mr. Hendrix Chalwe facilitated field experiments conducted in the 2017/2018 cropping season. abstract: Higher than acceptable aflatoxin levels in peanut kernels (Arachis hypogaea L.) and related products is a worldwide food safety concern. Strict regulatory standards by major importers of peanuts limit the marketability of peanuts for many developing tropical countries including Zambia. The incidence of preharvest aflatoxins is strongly linked to soil and weather conditions during pod-development. This study aimed to formulate statistical models to predict total aflatoxin content in peanut kernels using selected environmental factors during pod development. Field experiments were conducted for two years during which the peanut crop was exposed to 84 combinations of ambient temperature, soil temperature and soil moisture content measured during the last 30 days of pod development. These data were used to formulate regression models to predict total aflatoxin content in peanut kernels. Simple linear regression models had R2 values of 0.30 for maximum ambient temperature, 0.24 for soil temperature and 0.38 for soil moisture content. Combining soil moisture content and soil temperature in a multivariate regression model could explain 54% of the variation in total aflatoxin content while a combination of soil moisture content and maximum ambient temperature could only explain 46% of the variation in total aflatoxin content. date: 2019-03 date_type: published publication: African Journal of Plant Science volume: 13 number: 3 publisher: Academic Journals pagerange: 59-69 id_number: doi:10.5897/AJPS2018.1742 refereed: TRUE issn: 1996-0824 official_url: https://doi.org/10.5897/AJPS2018.1742 related_url_url: https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=10.5897%2FAJPS2018.1742&btnG= related_url_type: pub citation: Hendrix, M C and Obed, I L and Alice, M M and Elijah, P and Jones, Y and Njoroge, S M C and Rick, L B and David, J (2019) Predicting aflatoxin content in peanuts using ambient temperature, soil temperature and soil moisture content during pod development. African Journal of Plant Science, 13 (3). pp. 59-69. ISSN 1996-0824 document_url: http://oar.icrisat.org/11390/1/ea79eb09acc678531ebbaf643126ebbddaa1.pdf