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dc:title "HTML Summary of #10790 \n\nClimate Change Impacts on West African Agriculture: An Integrated Regional Assessment (CIWARA)\n\n";
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bibo:abstract "The West African Sub-Saharan region (Fig. 1) is home to some 300 million people,\r\nwith at least 60% engaged in agricultural activity. Climate change is now recognized\r\nas a major constraint to development worldwide. While climate change primarily\r\nrelates to the future, historical trends give evidence of climate change already occurring.\r\nTemperature increases of 1 to 1.5◦C have been observed over the last 30 years\r\nin West Africa (EPA Ghana, 2001; IPCC, 2007) and there are projections of further\r\nwarming of the West African region in the foreseeable future (2040–2069; Fig. 2a).\r\nThe impact of climate change on West African rainfall is less clear. The analysis of\r\nhistorical data over the last 30 years shows that, whereas some zones experienced\r\nincreased rainfall by as much as 20% to 40%, other locations experienced a decline\r\nin annual rainfall by about 15%. Future projections suggest a drier western Sahel\r\n(e.g., Senegal) but a wetter eastern Sahel (e.g., Mali, Niger; Fig. 2b). The southern\r\nlocations of WestAfrica (e.g., Ghana) are projected to experience no change or slight\r\nincreases in annual rainfall (Hulme et al., 2001).\r\nIrrespective of whether these zones will be dryer or not, there is historical evidence\r\nof shifts in rainfall patterns with extreme events (i.e., droughts and floods)\r\nbecoming more frequent (Adiku and Stone, 1995) and it is probable that this trend\r\nmay persist into the future..."^^xsd:string;
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