Simulating Potential Impacts of Future Climate Change on Post-Rainy Season Sorghum Yields in India

Chadalavada, K and Gummadi, S and Kundeti, K R and Kadiyala, D M and Deevi, K C and Dakhore, K K and Diana, R K B and Thiruppathi, S K (2021) Simulating Potential Impacts of Future Climate Change on Post-Rainy Season Sorghum Yields in India. Sustainability (TSI), 14. 01-24. ISSN 2071-1050

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Abstract

Given the wide use of the multi-climate model mean (MMM) for impact assessment studies, this work examines the fidelity of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) in simulating the features of Indian summer monsoons as well as the post-rainy seasons for assessing the possible impacts of climate change on post-rainy season sorghum crop yields across India. The MMM simulations captured the spatial patterns and annual cycles of rainfall and surface air temperatures. However, bias was observed in the precipitation amounts and daily rainfall intensity. The trends in the simulations of MMM for both precipitation and temperatures were less satisfactory than the observed climate means. The Crop Environment Resource Synthesis (CERES)-sorghum model was used to estimate the potential impacts of future climate change on post-rainy season sorghum yield values. On average, post-rainy season sorghum yields are projected to vary between

Item Type:	Article
Divisions:	Global Research Program - Enabling Systems Transformation
CRP:	CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	post-rainy sorghum, crop simulation models, climate change impacts, crop yields
Subjects:	Others > Crop Yield Mandate crops > Sorghum Others > Climate Change Others > India
Depositing User:	Mr Nagaraju T
Date Deposited:	23 May 2023 08:28
Last Modified:	23 May 2023 08:28
URI:	http://oar.icrisat.org/id/eprint/12099
Official URL:	https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/1/334
Projects:	UNSPECIFIED
Funders:	CGIAR Trust Fund
Acknowledgement:	Authors S Gummadi acknowledges CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), which is carried out with support from the CGIAR Trust Fund.
Links:	Google Scholar

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