Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal

Diouf, N S and Ouedraogo, M and Ouedraogo, I and Ablouka, G and Zougmoré, R (2020) Using Seasonal Forecast as an Adaptation Strategy: Gender Differential Impact on Yield and Income in Senegal. Atmosphere, 11 (10). pp. 1-19. ISSN 2073-4433

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Abstract

The use of seasonal forecast has been demonstrated as a good option to reduce the effects of climate variability in sub-Saharan African countries. However, its use, benefits and interests may be different depending on gender. This paper aims at analyzing the gender differential impact of the use of seasonal forecast on the main crop yields (rice, maize, sorghum, millet and groundnut) and farm income in Senegal. We collected data from 1481 farmers (44% women) in four regions of Senegal. We applied the counterfactual outcomes framework of modern evaluation theory to estimate the local average treatment effect (LATE) of the use of the seasonal forecast on crop yield and farm income. The results showed a significant impact of the use of the seasonal forecast (SF) in the main crop yields and the agricultural income for farmers in Senegal. This impact varies according to the sex and the type of the crops. The users (men and women) of the seasonal forecast gained on average 158 kg/ha and 140 kg/ha more yield than the non-users, respectively, for millet and rice crops. The impact of the use of SF is greater for men on millet (202.7 kg/ha vs. 16.7 kg/ha) and rice (321.33 kg/ha vs.

Item Type:	Article
Divisions:	Research Program : West & Central Africa
CRP:	CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Seasonal forecast, Impact, Yield, Income, LATE
Subjects:	Others > Crop Yield Others > Agricultural Statistics Others > Agriculture-Farming, Production, Technology, Economics Others > Gender Research
Depositing User:	Mr Arun S
Date Deposited:	26 Mar 2021 07:57
Last Modified:	14 Apr 2021 07:10
URI:	http://oar.icrisat.org/id/eprint/11767
Official URL:	https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11101127
Projects:	UNSPECIFIED
Funders:	UNSPECIFIED
Acknowledgement:	The authors acknowledge the USAID funding support to the CINSERE project in Senegal and we are thankful to the IPAR for data collection and the community (fisherfolk and key informants) for their collaboration. USAID/CINSERE project is implemented through ICRISAT by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), a strategic partnership of CGIAR and Future Earth, led by the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) and carried out with support from CGIAR Fund Donors and through bilateral funding agreements (for details, please visit https://ccafs.cgiar.org/donors). We would like to express our deepest gratitude to the technicians of ANACIM who carried out the training on the ground.
Links:	Google Scholar

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